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forex

Liberia's Foreign Reserves Hit a 13-Year High. The CBL Says It's No Accident.

TrueRate Finance Desk·Central Bank of Liberia·29 days ago·5 min read
Forex

Liberia's gross international reserves reached approximately $642 million at the end of February 2026, the highest level since 2013 and a 28% increase from the $502 million recorded at the end of 2023. The Central Bank of Liberia attributed the build-up to four concurrent factors: increased mining sector export receipts, particularly from ArcelorMittal Liberia's expanded iron ore operations; record diaspora remittance inflows; the conversion of Liberia's 2021 IMF Special Drawing Rights allocation into reserve assets; and disciplined central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market that purchased foreign currency during periods of excess supply.

Gross international reserves are measured as total foreign exchange holdings of the central bank available for balance of payments purposes, including foreign currency assets, SDR holdings, and gold. The IMF's standard adequacy benchmark for reserve coverage — based on import cover, external debt service obligations, and money supply metrics — suggests that three months of import cover represents a minimum adequate level for countries like Liberia with limited external financing flexibility. At 4.3 months, Liberia now comfortably exceeds that threshold, providing a meaningful buffer against external shocks.

The reserve build-up has practical implications for monetary and fiscal policy. Higher reserves give the CBL greater capacity to defend the LRD exchange rate corridor if speculative pressure or a sudden drop in export revenues threatens currency stability. They also reduce Liberia's vulnerability to the kind of rapid reserve depletion that preceded past monetary crises — in 2019, reserves fell to less than two months of import cover, forcing emergency CBL intervention and contributing to a sharp LRD depreciation episode.

The more important question is strategic: what should Liberia do with the breathing room? The CBL has maintained a conservative reserve management policy, investing predominantly in short-duration US Treasury instruments and deposits at international correspondent banks. Critics have argued that a portion of the reserves could be deployed more productively in a stabilisation fund or sovereign wealth fund structure, earning higher returns while retaining adequate liquidity. The Finance Ministry has indicated interest in studying a sovereign wealth fund model, but no formal proposal has been presented to the Legislature.

forexLiberiaWest AfricaEconomy

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